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Wed 28 Oct, 14:17
What would my result have been if I had always followed my plan?
Counting every trade you made, the journal is at +9,292. Counting only the trades that followed your plan, it would be at +11,356.
The 59 trades that broke a rule came to −2,064 between them. So skipping them would have left you +2,064 better off, and with a calmer curve.
This is a look back, not a forecast: you cannot know in advance which trades will break a rule. Figures from your journal, not advice.
What it ran · 2 queries
1 62 rows
SELECT CAST(DATE(closed_at) AS DATETIME) AS day, ROUND(SUM(SUM(net_pnl)) OVER (ORDER BY DATE(closed_at)), 2) AS actual, ROUND(SUM(SUM(CASE WHEN plan_adherence = 'followed' THEN net_pnl ELSE 0 END)) OVER (ORDER BY DATE(closed_at)), 2) AS only_followed FROM journal_trades WHERE status = 'closed' AND closed_at IS NOT NULL GROUP BY DATE(closed_at) ORDER BY day
| day | actual | only_followed |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 00:00:00 | 324.30 | 324.30 |
| 2026-08-06 00:00:00 | 136.46 | 324.30 |
| 2026-08-07 00:00:00 | 79.24 | 267.08 |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | -169.36 | 267.08 |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | -185.39 | 251.05 |
| 2026-08-14 00:00:00 | 5.13 | 707.67 |
| 2026-08-15 00:00:00 | -239.19 | 707.67 |
| 2026-08-17 00:00:00 | 113.16 | 1060.01 |
| 2026-08-19 00:00:00 | 320.48 | 1060.01 |
| 2026-08-20 00:00:00 | 326.03 | 1065.56 |
| 2026-08-21 00:00:00 | 414.73 | 888.74 |
| 2026-08-22 00:00:00 | 597.80 | 1071.82 |
| 2026-08-25 00:00:00 | 467.40 | 941.41 |
| 2026-08-26 00:00:00 | 658.88 | 1132.89 |
| 2026-08-27 00:00:00 | 755.34 | 1132.89 |
| 2026-08-29 00:00:00 | 18.39 | 1132.89 |
| 2026-08-30 00:00:00 | -183.89 | 1132.89 |
| 2026-08-31 00:00:00 | -40.03 | 1132.89 |
| 2026-09-01 00:00:00 | 766.42 | 1132.89 |
| 2026-09-02 00:00:00 | 456.60 | 870.71 |
2 1 row
SELECT COUNT(*) AS trades, ROUND(SUM(net_pnl), 2) AS net FROM journal_trades WHERE status = 'closed' AND plan_adherence = 'broke'
| trades | net |
|---|---|
| 59 | -2064.05 |